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Tour de France 2024 - Prediction stage 15

Saturday 13 July 2024 • Previews

Tom Nederend

Sunday July 14th 2024: Loudenvielle - Plateau de Beille (197.7 km) 

Who will win stage 15 of Tour de France 2024 according to computer? The stage starts in Loudenvielle and finishes after 198 kms at Plateau de Beille. After the grueling battle towards Pla d’Adet, another tough stage awaits on Quatorze Juillet: 4,810 meters of elevation gain, 4 first-category climbs, and 1 hors-category climb. A nightmare for the sprinters, especially since the stage starts with the Col de Peyresourde (6.9 KM at 7.8%). From the top, there is some opportunity to recover, but before the 70 KM mark, the riders have also climbed the incredibly steep Col de Menté (9.3 KM at 9.1%) and Col de Portet-d’Aspet (4.3 KM at 9.6%). It is possible that a nice breakaway forms at the top of Portet-d’Aspet, or a full-fledged battle between the GC riders may have started already: several scenarios are possible.

An easy section of about 60 KM follows from Portet-d’Aspet to the second and decisive part of the stage. In this second part, the riders face the Col d’Agnes (10 KM at 8.2%) and the uncategorized Port de Lers (4.6 KM at 5.3%), followed by a descent and a 34 KM valley to the foot of Plateau de Beille. On this mountain (15.8 KM at 7.9%), epic battles have been fought, and at the French holiday of 2024 it will be no different. The climb itself is fairly constant (steep); the first 5 KM average about 9%, and the 10th kilometer is the steepest at 9.5%. The last bit towards the finish flattens out a bit. Once at the top, the riders will have earned a well-deserved rest day. A breakaway could make it, but we would prefer to see a battle between the GC riders on this climb.

📺Eurosport 1, NO, Sporza
⏰11.55 u
🏁17.40 u
⛅️Cloudy, light wind, 22 degrees

Tour de France 2024 - profile stage 15
Tour de France 2024 - profile final climb stage 15
Tour de France 2024 - route stage 15
Tour de France 2024 - route final stage 15

All Tour-content summarized:
TOUR DE FRANCE 2024 - PREDICTION GC
TOUR DE FRANCE 2024 - PREDICTION POINTS GC
TOUR DE FRANCE 2024 - PREDICTION KOM CLASSIFICATION
TOUR DE FRANCE 2024 - PREDICTION YOUTH GCKLASSEMENT
TOUR DE FRANCE 2024 - ROUTE
TOUR DE FRANCE 2024 - FANTASY GAME TIPS
TOUR DE FRANCE 2024 - TOP-10 LIST BASED ON DATA
TOUR DE FRANCE 2024 - MOST DROPOUTS IN A GRANDTOUR
TOUR DE FRANCE 2024 - MOST STAGE-WINS 

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Tour de France 2024 - favourites stage 15

Computer prediction 💻, Expected Win (xW):

Name
Team
Win %

🦄 Richard Carapaz

*The unicorn is our joker, nice old-fashioned based on feeling


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