Tour de France 2025 - Prediction KOM Classification
Thursday 3 July 2025 • Previews
All Tour de France 2025 content at one place:
PREVIEW OF ALL STAGES - TOUR DE FRANCE 2025
DATA-LISTS: BEST RIDERS AT THE START - TOUR DE FRANCE 2025
STATS ON THE RACE - TOUR DE FRANCE 2025
PREDICTION GENERAL CLASSIFICATION - TOUR DE FRANCE 2025
PREDICTION POINTS CLASSIFICATION - TOUR DE FRANCE 2025
PREDICTION YOUTH CLASSIFICICATION - TOUR DE FRANCE 2025
PREDICTION KOM CLASSIFICATION - TOUR DE FRANCE 2025
PREDICTION STAGE 1 - TOUR DE FRANCE 2025
PREDICTION STAGE 2 - TOUR DE FRANCE 2025
Who will win the King of the Mountain (KOM) classification in the Tour de France 2025? Traditionally the most difficult prediction of the entire Tour de France. Who will target the KOM-jersey and receive polka-dot in Paris? Generally the best GC-riders end up on top of the ranking, combined with a couple of stage-hunters and riders whose GC-ambitions have failed. Will it be a battle between Richard Carapaz, Tadej Pogacar and Jonas Vingegaard?
HC: 20 – 15 – 12 – 10 – 8 – 6 – 4 – 2
1st: 10 – 8 – 6 – 4 – 2 – 1
2nd: 5 – 3 – 2 – 1
3rd: 2 – 1
4th: 1
Souvenir Henri Desgrange is awared on top of the Col de la Loze (stage 18) double KOM points will be awarded at the top of Col de la Loze as well (stage 18).
All Tour-content summarized:
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Mountain stage in Tour de France 2025, import for polka-dot
Stage 6: Bayeux – Vire-Normandie (201.5 km)
The sixth stage is a real war of attrition through the heart of Normandy, with six categorized climbs and over 3,500 meters of elevation spread over 201.5 kilometers. The course is continuously up and down, making it difficult to find a rhythm. After the start in historic Bayeux, the route takes in narrow roads, through forests and along vast fields. The Côte du Mont Pinçon (3.7 km at 4.5%) is one of the longest climbs of the day and could thin out the peloton considerably. This is followed by the Côte de la Rançonnière, Côte de Mortain Cote 314 and the Côte de Juvigny-le-Tertre, all short but steep. The Côte de Vaudry (1.2 km at 7.2%) is the last categorized climb, just a few kilometers from the finish in Vire-Normandie. This final climb is ideal for punchers who want to strike in the last meters.

Stage 10: Ennezat – Le Mont-Dore (165.3 km)
After a series of flat and hilly stages, the peloton faces the first real mountain stage of this Tour in the tenth stage. The route runs from Ennezat to Le Mont-Dore, deep in the Massif Central. This area is known for its rugged landscape, extinct volcanoes and unpredictable weather conditions. The course includes several long climbs, including the Col de la Croix-Morand (8.8 km at 6.4%) and the Col de la Croix-Saint-Robert (6.5 km at 6.2%). Both climbs are not extremely steep, but due to their length and the pace in the peloton, they can make the difference. The final climb to Le Mont-Dore is long and irregular, with sections that reach up to 8%. This is where the GC riders will have to show their worth for the first time.

Stage 12: Auch – Hautacam (180.6 km)
The twelfth stage marks the start of the tough Pyrenees block and takes the peloton from Auch to the legendary climb of Hautacam. The course starts relatively calmly, with rolling roads through the south-west of France. After these first hurdles, there is a long approach to the Col du Soulor, a first category climb: 11.8 kilometres at 7.3%. This climb is a classic in the Tour and will seriously thin out the peloton. After the descent towards Argelès-Gazost, the finale begins: the final climb to Hautacam. This climb is 13.6 kilometres long with an average gradient of 7.8% and is known for its capricious character and steep sections.

Stage 13: Loudenvielle-Le Louron – Peyragudes (10.9 km, ITT)
The thirteenth stage is a unique climbing time trial of only 10.9 kilometres, but do not underestimate this stage: the course is extremely tough and technical. The start is in Loudenvielle-Le Louron, after which the riders almost immediately begin the climb to the Peyragudes airfield. The climb is 8.3 kilometres long with an average gradient of 7.8%, but has peaks of over 13%. It is a stage that is completely dominated by climbing, without flat sections to recover.

Stage 14: Pau – Luchon-Superbagnères (182.3 km)
The fourteenth stage is a classic Pyrenees stage from Pau to the mythical finish at Luchon-Superbagnères. The route has around 5,000 metres of elevation gain, making it one of the toughest stages of this Tour. From the start in Pau, the riders are immediately confronted with the mountainous terrain. The highlight of the day is in the second half, with a series of tough climbs. The Col de Peyresourde (13.2 km at 7%) is the first major test, followed by the Col d’Azet (7.4 km at 8.3%). After a technical descent, the final climb to Luchon-Superbagnères follows: 18.5 kilometres at an average of 6.3%, with steeper passages in the middle section. This climb is long and gruelling, and offers plenty of opportunities for attacks from GC riders.

Stage 16: Montpellier – Mont Ventoux (171.5 km)
After the second rest day, the peloton will face one of the most iconic climbs in cycling: Mont Ventoux. The final climb to the top of Mont Ventoux is 21.5 kilometres long with an average gradient of 7.5%. The climb is known for its barren, moon-like landscape and the often merciless mistral wind. The first part of the climb is still sheltered, but after Chalet Reynard the landscape becomes open and unforgiving. The differences can quickly increase here, especially if the pace is increased early.

Stage 18: Vif – Courchevel Col de la Loze (171.5 km)
The eighteenth stage is a true queen of the Alps and takes the peloton from Vif to the top of the Col de la Loze, one of the toughest climbs in modern cycling. The course has almost 6,000 meters of elevation, includes some of the most famous giants of the Alps and is the toughest Tour stage in more than 10 years. After climbing two giants, the descent follows and a short intermediate phase to the final climb to the Col de la Loze: 28.1 kilometers long with an average gradient of 6%, but with sections above 10% in the last kilometers. The climb is notorious for its capricious profile, narrow roads and steep hairpin bends.

Stage 19: Albertville – La Plagne (129.9 km)
The nineteenth stage is relatively short, but no less tough. The peloton heads from Albertville to the ski resort of La Plagne, a spectacular finish that is part of the Tour de France for the first time since 2002. The course includes several climbs, but the focus is on the final climb: 17.1 kilometres at an average gradient of 7.6%. This climb is long, regular and gruelling, with few moments to recover.

Tour de France 2025 - favourites polka-dot jersey
Computer prediction 💻, Expected Win (xW):
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🦄 Lenny Martinez
*The unicorn is our joker, nice old-fashioned based on feeling