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Giro d'Italia 2025 - Prediction Mountain Classification (KOM)

Wednesday 7 May 2025 • Previews

Tom Nederend

Who will win the mountain classification of the Giro d'Italia 2025 according to the computer model? In other words, who is the climber and takes the blue jersey? 

FIND ALL DATA-LISTS HERE - GIRO D'ITALIA 2025
PREDICTION GENERAL CLASSIFICATION - GIRO D'ITALIA 2025 
PREDICTION POINTS CLASSIFICATION - GIRO D'ITALIA 2025
PREDICTION YOUTH CLASSIFICATION - GIRO D'ITALIA 2025
PREDICTION STAGE 1 - GIRO D'ITALIA 2025
PREDICTION STAGE 2 - GIRO D'ITALIA 2025

Last year, Tadej Pogačar was the winner again. The Slovenian all-rounder not only took the pink jersey, but also convincingly won the maglia azzurra, the blue jersey of the mountain classification. Behind him, Giulio Pellizzari and Georg Steinhauser finished in second and third place. But in 2025, Pogačar will not be there - which means that the battle for the mountain classification is wide open.

From 9 May, when the Giro starts in Albania, the climbers can prepare for a long hunt for mountain points. The harder and higher the climb, the more points can be earned. Most points are reserved for the Cima Coppi - the highest point of the Giro - traditionally a decisive moment in this battle. This year, the prize is on the Colle delle Finestre (2178 metres high).

Points in the mountain classification (per climbing category)

Cima Coppi (highest climb of the Giro):
50 – 30 – 20 – 14 – 10 – 6 – 4 – 2 – 1

1st category:
40 – 18 – 12 – 9 – 6 – 4 – 2 – 1

2nd category:
18 – 8 – 6 – 4 – 2 – 1

3rd category:
9 – 4 – 2 – 1

4th category:
3 – 2 – 1

Giro d'Italia 2025 - Prediction Mountain Classification (KOM)

Computer prediction 💻, Expected Win (xW):

Name
Team
Win %

🦄 Wout Poels

*The unicorn is our joker, nice old-fashioned based on feeling

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