Giro 2024 - Prediction stage 17

Tuesday 21 May 2024 • Previews

Tom Nederend

Wednesday May 22nd 2024: Selva di Val Gardena - Passo del Brocon (159 km) 

Who will win stage 17 of Giro d'Italia 2024 according to the computer? The stage starts in Selva di Val Gardena and finishes after 159 kilometers in Passo del Brocon. The third consecutive stage with a lot of elevation gain, this time 4,200 vertical meters. That's less than in the previous 2 stages, but it should be noted that these 4,200 vertical meters are covered in just 159 KM: the number of elevation meters / KM is way higher than in the previous stages. A tough stage, with the Passo Sella (8.9 KM at 7.4%, short and spicy with cold legs) right from the start, and then the Passo Rolle (19.8 KM at 4.8%, gradual climber) and the Passo Brocon from Ponte di Ronco (13.3 KM at 6.5%, slightly more irregular climb) bringing the riders to the foot of the final climb. 

The final climb is again the Passo Brocon, but then ascended from Pieve Tesino. From this side, the climb is 11.9 KM long with an average gradient of 6.5%. Here too, this gradient is somewhat deceptive, for after 5 easy kilometers, the road rises 2 KM against average of 8.5% uphill and then 3 KM long at an average of 10.5%. After a short flat stretch, there's still a kilometer at 8.6% from 1.5 KM to the finish before we reach the line. A nasty climb at the end of a very tough trilogy of mountain-stages. Many will be clear about the final GC in this Giro.

📺Eurosport 1 (12.25 u)
⏰12.25 u
🏁17.10 u
⛅️Sunny, 26 degrees

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Giro 2024 - profile stage 17
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Giro 2024 - favourites stage 17

Computer prediction 💻, Expected Win (xW):

Win %

🦄 Rafal Majka

*The unicorn is our joker, nice old-fashioned based on feeling

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