Giro 2024 - Prediction stage 16

Monday 20 May 2024 • Previews

Tom Nederend

Tuesday May 21st 2024: Livigno - Santa Christina Valgardena (202 km) 

Who will win stage 16 of Giro dÍtalia 2024 according to the computer? The stage starts in Livigno and finishes after 202 kilometers in Santa Christina Valgardena. After the second restday, the riders calmly continue with what they left off: mountains. Today, 'only' 4,350 vertical meters are on the menu, After 34 KM, the riders were supposed to arrive at the foot of the Passo dello Stelvio, rightfully one of the most beautiful and reknown climbs in the world. The Stelvio was removed from the stage given the bad concitions of the road and potential thread of avalanches. the Umbrailpass replaced it (16.7 km à 7.1%). It is still the highest point in the race (Cima Coppi) at 2498 meters of altitude, the perfect place to launch a break.

The riders will climb 2 more mountains in the final: the Passo di Pinei (23.3 KM at 4.7%) and the final climb to Monte Pana (6.5 KM at 6.1%). Note: these average passages are somewhat deceiving. The Passo di Pinei is indeed a gradual climb, but contains about 13 KM that averages above 7% after a relatively flat middle section. After a short descent, the riders start the final part of the stage and the climb to Monte Pana. The first 4.5 KM are manageable, but the end is murderous: the last 2.0 KM average 11.8%. Who drags themselves fastest and delivers the next blow?

📺Eurosport 1 (11.25 u)
⏰11.25 u
🏁17.15 u
⛅️Sunny, 26 degrees

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Giro 2024 - route stage 16
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Giro 2024 - favourites stage 16

Computer prediction 💻, Expected Win (xW):

Win %

🦄 Magnus Sheffield

*The unicorn is our joker, nice old-fashioned based on feeling

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