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Tour de France 2024 - Prediction stage 4

Monday 1 July 2024 • Previews

Tom Nederend

Tuesday July 2nd: Pinerolo - Valloire (139.6 km) 

Who will win stage 4 in Tour de France 2024 according to the computer? The stage starts in Pinerolo and finishes after 19.6 kilometers in Valloire. This stage leads the peloton into France. A short but incredibly hard stage with more than 70 official climbing kilometers awaits the riders. The road starts climbing immediately from the start, continuing until the top of the Sestrières (39.9 KM at 3.7%) is reached. After this 'warm-up,' a short descent follows and then the Col de Montgenèvre (8.3 KM at 5.9%) awaits where the sprinters hope to find a nice bus. The final part of the stage begins in Briançon, where the road gradually climbs again. Up to the Col du Lautaret, it's not very challenging, but from the top of the Lautaret, the riders will climb the mythical Col du Galibier. The total climb is 23 KM at 5.1% and will take a toll after all the previous climbing. The stage finishes after the technical and steep descent of the Galibier in Valloire. Quintana gave a good example here in 2019; Pidcock showed in 2022 how to perfect this descent. Who will descend to victory in this first major mountain-test of this year’s Tour?

📺Eurosport 1 (12.45 u), NOS (13.10 u), Sporza (12.55 u)
⏰13.05 u
🏁17.20 u
⛅️Cloudy, light wind, 26 degrees

Tour 2024 - profile stage 4
Tour de France 2024 - profile final kilometer stage 4
Tour de France 2024 - Galibier
Tour de France 2024 - route stage 4

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Tour de France 2024 - favourites stage 4

Computer prediction 💻, Expected Win (xW):

Name
Team
Win %

🦄 Wout van Aert

*The unicorn is our joker, nice old-fashioned based on feeling

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