Dwars door Vlaanderen 2024 - Prediction

Monday 25 March 2024 • Previews

Tom Nederend

Wednesday March 27th: Roeselare - Waregem (188.6 km)

Who will win Dwars door Vlaanderen 2024 according to the computer? Dwars door Vlaanderen starts in Roeselare and finishes after 188.6 km in Waregem. The first 70 kilometers contains few difficulties, after that it will be 80 km of non-stop turning and climbing. The final 40 kilomters covers two ascents of Nokereberg (750m at 5.7%) and contains two cobbled sectors (Herlegemstraat 800m). At the top of Nokereberg there will be 9 kilometers remaining to the finish.

📺Eurosport 1 (14.15u), Sporza (14.00u)
⏰12.15 u
🏁16.40 u
⛅️Clouded, strong wind, 12 degrees

Dwars door Vlaanderen 2024 - profiel
Dwars door Vlaanderen 2024 - profile
Dwars door Vlaanderen 2024 - parcours
Dwars door Vlaanderen 2024 - route
Dwars door Vlaanderen 2024 - hellingen en kasseien
Dwars door Vlaanderen 2024 - hills and cobbles

Stats - Dwars door Vlaanderen

No one has won Dwars door Vlaanderen more than twice. 14 riders were on the top step of the podium twice, but after 78 editions we are still waiting for the first rider with 3 victories. Next Wednesday, Yves Lampaert can become the first with 3 victories after 2 previous victories and 4 top-10 places. Lampaet is also the only one who has won twice in a row. Besides Yves, only Dylan van Baarle is at the start as a former winner, Laporte and van der Poel are two absent winners in recent history.

Stijn Devolder participated 18 times in Dwars door Vlaanderen, which is a shared record for the number of starts in a single classic with Rebellin in the Amstel Gold Race, Gilbert and Panizza in Milano-Sanremo, and again Stijn Devolder in the Tour of Flanders.

The last time DDV was won after a sprint by a large group was in 1998. This race is often won solo or after a sprint by a small group. In recent history, two Dutchmen won Dwars door Vlaanderen with a long solo: Terpstra in 2014 and Van Baarle in 2021. Nijdam (twice) and Priem also managed to triumph solo in Waregem. DVB's solo in particular will go down in history, until recently (Pogacar in Strade) the longest solo in a major classic in a long time.

Longest solo victories in classics
Longest solo victories in classics

After the Amstel Gold Race (18 victories), there is no classic that has been won more often by a Dutchman than Dwars door Vlaanderen. 15 times a fellow countryman crossed the line first, 11 different riders. For the last time in 2022 with Mathieu van der Poel. In 2024 there will be only 12 Dutch riders on the startlist, the lowest number since 2001. Without MVDP, the chance of a 16th Dutch victory seems small, but perhaps Van Baarle, Teunissen or Eekhoff can surprise with a strong race.

Finally, an honorable mention for Jakob Fuglsang, at the age of 39 the Dane is participating for the 2nd time in Dwars door Vlaanderen, 18 years after his first participation. That was also his debut in a professional race outside his own country.

Dwars door Vlaanderen 2024 - prediction

Computer prediction 💻, Expected Win (xW):

Win %

🦄 Oier Lazkano

*The unicorn is our joker, nice old-fashioned based on feeling

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