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59 FR
Thibault Guernalec 20 COB 46 GC 45 HLL 67 ITT 29 MTN 38 SPR CyclingOracle.com
59 FR
Thibault Guernalec 20 COB 46 GC 45 HLL 67 ITT 29 MTN 38 SPR CyclingOracle.com

Information Guernalec

Name
Thibault Guernalec
Nationality
france France
Birthday
31 July 1997
Age
26 years and 261 days
Weight
71 kg
Length
185 cm

Thibault Guernalec

Thibault Guernalec is a professional bike-rider from France. Thibault Guernalec is contracted at ARKEA-B&B HOTELS and was born on July 31 1997. Thibault Guernalec weighs 71 kg and is 185 cm long. More info on Thibault Guernalec will be avaialbe soon. Please take look at the skills of Thibault Guernalec at the rider-card at this page, those will be updated daily.

Current scores of Thibault Guernalec

We keep track of all indicator-scores of Thibault Guernalec (and all other pro-riders) based on results in UCI-races in the past 3 years. Stats are updated every day in order to provide up-to-date scores. It gives you the possibility to check current rider-specialties of all riders. Here you can find the scores of Thibault Guernalec.

  • Thibault Guernalec has an average strength of 59 points.
  • Guernalec scores 20 points on riding on cobbles.
  • Thibault Guernalec scores 45 points on hills.
  • Guernalec gets 29 points on mountains.
  • Thibault Guernalec has 46 points on riding General Classifications.
  • Guernalec is ranked at 67 points in time trial.
  • Thibault Guernalec scores 38 points on sprinting.
  • Guernalec gets 51 points on riding on the flat.
  • Thibault Guernalec indicates 40 points on doing a leadout.
  • Guernalec gained 50 points on riding one-day races.
  • Thibault Guernalec has 52 points on racing prologues.
  • Guernalec gets a score of 62 points on riding short time-trials.
  • Thibault Guernalec scores 66 points on riding long time-trials.

About CyclingOracle.com

CyclingOracle.com is created by 5 cycling-addicts who found each other in their shared passion for cycling. Tom Nederend (@TomNederend), Arjan Zoer (@ZoerCyclingStat), Daniël Herbers (@StatsOnCycling), Thomas Zwetsloot (@zwetmas) en Stef van Zon (@stefvanzon) invest a lot of their free time in making content for the website and developing the computer algorithm predicting professional cycling races.

Computer-model of CyclingOracle.com

Arjan Zoer is the mastermind behind the smart computer-algorithm. Arjan developed the model and is working on improvements of the model on a daily basis. We will not share the depths of the model publically, but can give some insight in how it works. The model is based on results of riders in the past 3 seasons in which more recent results have a larger impact on the outcome. The model runs for every male and female rider in all UCI-races. That’s a lot of data. The result of race, combined with the profile, quality of the startlist and the UCI-classification of the race, determines on which skills a rider gets ‘points’. Riders score points between 20 and 100 on 13 different skills (categories), being: spring, flat, mountain, hills, time-trial, ITT-long, ITT- short, prologue, cobbles, leadout, GC, one-day races and stage-races. In addition, a rider gets points for his current shape (good results in recent races).

Some examples:

  • A rider wins a bunch sprint in Tour de Rwanda. He gets points awarded for ‘flat’ and ‘sprint’, but these points will make less of a difference compared to a bunch sprint-victory in Tour de France given the UCI-classification of the race (2.1) and weak field of participants.
  • A rider wins a bunch sprint in Giro d’Italia and his teammates get rewarded points for ‘leadout. If teammates of a sprinter have a lot of leadout-points, the computer lifts the chances of a sprinter to win a flat race which is likely to result in a bunch sprint. Team-quality is part of the model.
  • A rider solos to victory in Ronde van Vlaanderen: the rider gets rewarded a mix of points on skills like ‘cobbles’, ‘hills’, ‘one-day races’ and ‘time-trial’.
  • A rider wins the sprint of a small-group at a summit-finish of Alpe d’Huez. He gets points for ‘mountain’, but also for ‘sprint’ and ‘stage-races’. Moreover, these points will weigh heavily on a rider’s shape or form in order to predict future results in the same race better.

All these skills will be used to predicted a cycling-race. Depending on the profile and field of participants, the computer predicts the most likely winner. The probability a certain rider will win the race is called ‘Expected Win’.

How to find CyclingOracle.com

WielerOrakel.nl can be found at Twitter, Instagram and YouTube named @wielerorakel. Further the ‘WielerOrakel podcast’ is our most important media outlet, you can listen to us in your favourite podcast-app. In the WielerOrakel podcast, cycling-addicts Tom and Thomas rejoice about the upcoming cycling races. They will be joined by several others, like data-mastermind Arjan Zoer, stat-expert Daniël and other guests from the cycling community. They elaborate on and discuss the predictions by the computer model.

Cycling Oracle Cycling Quiz

Every year the Cycling Oracle Cycling Quiz is organised in Café Scheltema in Leiden (NL). Cycling-lovers from several countries gather to fight fort he Challenge Cup and several other prizes. Follow us on Twitter to know more about the quiz.

Collaboration with CyclingOracle.com?

Do you want to sponsor us of collaborate with CyclingOracle.com? Let us know by sending an e-mal to [email protected] and we will get in touch to explore the possibilities. That’s it for now, see you later.

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